<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><Report xmlns="http://xml.kishou.go.jp/jmaxml1/" xmlns:jmx="http://xml.kishou.go.jp/jmaxml1/" xmlns:jmx_add="http://xml.kishou.go.jp/jmaxml1/addition1/">
    <Control>
        <Title>地方１か月予報</Title>
        <DateTime>2026-11-05T05:07:31Z</DateTime>
        <Status>通常</Status>
        <EditorialOffice>札幌管区気象台</EditorialOffice>
        <PublishingOffice>札幌管区気象台</PublishingOffice>
    </Control>
    <Head xmlns="http://xml.kishou.go.jp/jmaxml1/informationBasis1/">
        <Title>北海道地方１か月予報</Title>
        <ReportDateTime>2026-11-05T14:30:00+09:00</ReportDateTime>
        <TargetDateTime>2026-11-07T00:00:00+09:00</TargetDateTime>
        <TargetDuration>P1M</TargetDuration>
        <EventID/>
        <InfoType>発表</InfoType>
        <Serial/>
        <InfoKind>季節予報</InfoKind>
        <InfoKindVersion>1.0_0</InfoKindVersion>
        <Headline>
            <Text>　期間のはじめは気温がかなり低くなり、北海道日本海側を中心に、この時期としては降雪量がかなり多くなる可能性があります。</Text>
        </Headline>
    </Head>
    <Body xmlns="http://xml.kishou.go.jp/jmaxml1/body/meteorology1/" xmlns:jmx_eb="http://xml.kishou.go.jp/jmaxml1/elementBasis1/">
        <TargetArea codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
            <Name>北海道地方</Name>
            <Code>010100</Code>
        </TargetArea>
        <MeteorologicalInfos type="季節予報">
            <MeteorologicalInfo>
                <DateTime significant="yyyy-mm-dd">2026-11-07T00:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
                <Duration>P1M</Duration>
                <Name>向こう１か月</Name>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>出現の可能性が最も大きい天候と、特徴のある気温、降水量等の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateFeaturePart>
                                <jmx_eb:GeneralSituationText>　北海道日本海側・オホーツク海側では、平年と同様に曇りや雪または雨の日が多いでしょう。北海道太平洋側では、平年と同様に晴れの日が多いでしょう。</jmx_eb:GeneralSituationText>
                                <jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement kind="気温">
                                    <jmx_eb:Text>平均気温は、低い確率５０％です。</jmx_eb:Text>
                                </jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement>
                            </ClimateFeaturePart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道地方</Name>
                            <Code>010100</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="気温">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal significant="true" unit="%">50</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">20</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道地方</Name>
                            <Code>010100</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="降水量">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal unit="%">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道日本海側</Name>
                            <Code>010101</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="降水量">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道オホーツク海側</Name>
                            <Code>010102</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="降水量">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道太平洋側</Name>
                            <Code>010103</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="日照時間">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%">40</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道地方</Name>
                            <Code>010100</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
            </MeteorologicalInfo>
            <TimeSeriesInfo>
                <TimeDefines>
                    <TimeDefine timeId="1">
                        <DateTime>2026-11-07T00:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
                        <Duration>P7D</Duration>
                        <Name>１週目</Name>
                    </TimeDefine>
                    <TimeDefine timeId="2">
                        <DateTime>2026-11-14T00:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
                        <Duration>P7D</Duration>
                        <Name>２週目</Name>
                    </TimeDefine>
                    <TimeDefine timeId="3">
                        <DateTime>2026-11-21T00:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
                        <Duration>P14D</Duration>
                        <Name>３～４週目</Name>
                    </TimeDefine>
                </TimeDefines>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>出現の可能性が最も大きい天候と、特徴のある気温、降水量等の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateFeaturePart>
                                <jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement kind="気温">
                                    <jmx_eb:Text refID="1">１週目は、低い確率８０％です。</jmx_eb:Text>
                                    <jmx_eb:Text refID="2">２週目は、平年並の確率５０％です。</jmx_eb:Text>
                                    <jmx_eb:Text refID="3">３～４週目は、平年並の確率５０％です。</jmx_eb:Text>
                                </jmx_eb:SignificantClimateElement>
                            </ClimateFeaturePart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道地方</Name>
                            <Code>010100</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="気温" refID="1">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal significant="true" unit="%">80</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal unit="%">10</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">10</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="気温" refID="3">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%">20</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal significant="true" unit="%">50</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道地方</Name>
                            <Code>010100</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="気温" refID="2">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%">20</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal significant="true" unit="%">50</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道日本海側</Name>
                            <Code>010101</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="気温" refID="2">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal significant="true" unit="%">50</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">20</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道オホーツク海側</Name>
                            <Code>010102</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
                <Item>
                    <Kind>
                        <Property>
                            <Type>地域・期間平均平年偏差各階級の確率</Type>
                            <ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                                <jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues kind="気温" refID="2">
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal unit="%">20</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfBelowNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal significant="true" unit="%">50</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfNormal>
                                    <jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal unit="%">30</jmx_eb:ProbabilityOfAboveNormal>
                                </jmx_eb:ClimateProbabilityValues>
                            </ClimateProbabilityValuesPart>
                        </Property>
                    </Kind>
                    <Areas codeType="全国・地方予報区等">
                        <Area>
                            <Name>北海道太平洋側</Name>
                            <Code>010103</Code>
                        </Area>
                    </Areas>
                </Item>
            </TimeSeriesInfo>
        </MeteorologicalInfos>
        <AdditionalInfo>
            <ClimateForecastAddition>
                <NextForecastSchedule target="１か月予報">
                    <Text>１か月予報：毎週木曜日　１４時３０分　次回は１１月１２日</Text>
                    <DateTime>2026-11-12T14:30:00+09:00</DateTime>
                </NextForecastSchedule>
                <NextForecastSchedule target="３か月予報">
                    <Text>３か月予報：１１月２４日（火）　１４時</Text>
                    <DateTime>2026-11-24T14:00:00+09:00</DateTime>
                </NextForecastSchedule>
            </ClimateForecastAddition>
        </AdditionalInfo>
    </Body>
</Report>
